August 12, 2022

Ruud vs. Humbert Odds

Ruud Odds-150
Humbert odds+125
Total39.5 (-105 / -115)
Time | How to watch6:00 a.m. ET | ESPN+
Odds via DraftKings. For tips on watching tennis matches, click here.

Casper Ruud is becoming a household name after being able to reach finals in Miami and Paris this year, but he’s been playing anything but that in recent weeks on grass.

The young Norwegian begins his second-round encounter against Ugo Humbert, a player who came out of the top 100, as a small favorite. Is this the right price?

Let’s understand that.

Ruud uncomfortable on the grass

Ruud becomes one of the most confusing players in the world. He’s currently ranked No. 6 in the world, and a run to the Roland Garros final coupled with a Masters 1000 win and two clay-court titles would have you thinking he’s the same dominant player we saw there. one year old.

He has, however, undergone several changes to improve his game on the hard court.

It looks like it worked, but what’s left of Ruud is a guy with a confusing mix of skills, whereas the one we knew at the start of last year was a very straightforward clay-dominant player with a massive forehand .

Ruud’s run at Roland Garros hasn’t been without its hiccups, and it looks like those hiccups haven’t gone away yet. He fell in straight sets to a player vastly inferior to Ryan Peniston in his first grass court match and then again to Zizou Bergs in a grass exhibition. He was snuck in by Carlos Alcaraz, a player who wasn’t giving the game 100% due to injury, according to reports.

It all culminated in one of the most embarrassing straight-set wins you could have had. Ruud played a clay-court specialist in 34-year-old Albert Ramos-Vinolas and needed two tiebreakers to get the first two sets.

That includes a 20-point breaker in the second, before the Spaniard eventually ran out of energy.

It shows how bad Ruud is on fast courts like these.

Humbert seeks to overcome a difficult year

The nightmarish season continues for Humbert, a 24-year-old with a wealth of talent who rose to 25th in the world before an epic meltdown resulted in the Frenchman dropping to 112th ahead of Wimbledon.

Humbert is just 7-17 this season, and he’s just 2-3 on his beloved turf. He had a pretty decent loss to Hubert Hurkavz in Halle, but losing to Thiago Monteiro in Eastbourne and needing five sets against Tomas Etcheverry really doesn’t inspire much confidence.

Humbert was 8-6 on grass when he first stepped onto the surface in 2019 and last season was one of the most in-form grass players in the world with a Halle title and an 8-2 record in total.

It should be noted here that Humbert reveled in playing the best in the world. He’s an impressive 6-5 against the top 10 players of his career with one of those wins earlier this year over Daniil Medvedev in a match where he trailed by a set and a break.

bet value

Aside from the fact that Ruud isn’t good on grass and has had some troubling matches so far, it’s been a nightmare game for the world No.6.

Ruud’s backhand is atrocious and a glaring weakness that almost every player on the tour tries to exploit. Humbert is a southpaw, which means he will hit a forehand in the backhand of Ruud throughout the game. On grass, it’s going to be a disaster for Ruud.

Humbert’s massive serve is why he’s been successful on grass, and that should help tighten the margins here. I have no confidence in Ruud’s ability to break multiple times given his stubbornness on the return and his inability to make mid-game adjustments.

As crazy as it sounds, one of the biggest busts on the tour is in line for a huge win here at Wimbledon.

Choice: Humbert +125

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